{"id":12340,"date":"2023-11-10T20:51:44","date_gmt":"2023-11-10T20:51:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/investment\/rba-warns-inflation-more-persistent-revises-its-forecasts-higher\/"},"modified":"2023-11-10T20:51:45","modified_gmt":"2023-11-10T20:51:45","slug":"rba-warns-inflation-more-persistent-revises-its-forecasts-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/?p=12340","title":{"rendered":"RBA warns inflation more persistent, revises its forecasts higher"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"js-article__body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-sbid=\"MW-BT-CO-20231109-720122\" role=\"document\">\n<p>SYDNEY \u2014 The Reserve Bank of Australia sharply revised up its forecasts for core inflation in the near term and warned that inflation pressures are cooling at a slower pace than anticipated against the backdrop of an economy that is proving more resilient than expected.<\/p>\n<p>Trimmed mean inflation, which is central to policy decisions at the RBA, is now expected to be running at 4.0% on-year by mid-2024, up from a forecast of 3.25% on-year in August.<\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n<p>Overall, the RBA expects inflation will be at the top of its 2%-3% target band by the end of 2025, but its outlook now assumes greater risks in the near term, which, if realized, could underpin further interest-rate increases.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cInflation in Australia has passed its peak but it is still too high and is proving more persistent than expected a few months ago,\u201d the central bank said Friday in a statement on monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p>The new forecast comes after the decision by the RBA\u2019s policy-setting board on Tuesday to raise the official cash rate a further 25 basis points to 4.35%, the first increase since June.<\/p>\n<p>The hike was the thirteenth since May last year, and followed data showing that inflation was stickier than anticipated in the third quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Still, the RBA appears cautious overall, saying that it will examine the data flow closely to assess if further interest-rate increases are needed, while noting that the full impact of prior rate increases is yet to be felt.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe board\u2019s priority is to return inflation to target. Whether further tightening of monetary policy is required to ensure that inflation returns to target in a reasonable timeframe will depend upon data and the evolving assessment of risks,\u201d the RBA said.<\/p>\n<p>The forecasts are the first to be overseen by recently-appointed Gov. Michele Bullock, who replaced Philip Lowe in September. Bullock said recently that the RBA would \u201cnot hesitate\u201d to raise interest rates if the environment for inflation deteriorated.<\/p>\n<p>The RBA outlook also pointed to growing evidence that inflation expectations are beginning to rise.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe weight of recent information suggests that the risk of inflation remaining higher for longer has increased,\u201d the central bank said. \u201cWhile it has been reassuring that medium-term inflation expectations have remained anchored to date, some measures have recently been edging up,\u201d it added.<\/p>\n<p>Unhinged inflationary expectations could quickly become a problem, especially if productivity growth remains weak, the RBA said.<\/p>\n<p>The RBA\u2019s stronger forecasts for both gross domestic product growth and unemployment reflected the recent resilience of the economy.<\/p>\n<p>GDP growth is expected to be soft over the forecast horizon, but gradually strengthen from around mid-2024 to be around 2.25% by the end of 2025.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/rba-revises-up-near-term-inflation-forecasts-warns-inflation-more-persistent-6167e7a4?mod=investing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SYDNEY \u2014 The Reserve Bank of Australia sharply revised up its forecasts for core inflation in the near term and warned that&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1200,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-12340","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-investment"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>RBA warns inflation more persistent, revises its forecasts 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