{"id":1314,"date":"2023-10-13T20:06:13","date_gmt":"2023-10-13T20:06:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/business\/military-briefing-the-shape-of-a-gaza-invasion\/"},"modified":"2023-10-13T20:06:13","modified_gmt":"2023-10-13T20:06:13","slug":"military-briefing-the-shape-of-a-gaza-invasion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/?p=1314","title":{"rendered":"Military briefing: the shape of a Gaza invasion"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

As Israel continues its aerial bombardment of Gaza and masses forces on the border of the coastal enclave, the objective of the Israeli campaign has been made clear: to destroy Hamas.<\/p>\n

How the Israeli military plans to do that is still unclear. By ordering nearly half of Gaza\u2019s 2.3mn population to leave their homes and flee south or risk death, it has raised fears that any impending ground invasion would first seek to capture northern Gaza.<\/p>\n

Or, it could be a feint.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Whatever the order of battle, it is clear that any ground invasion would involve overwhelming force from the most powerful military in the Middle East seeking to vanquish an entrenched enemy that killed 1,300 Israelis in a sophisticated cross-border raid on Saturday, according to Israeli officials. <\/p>\n

The scale of the death toll on the Israeli side and atrocities committed by invading Hamas commandos has shocked the country, with Israeli officials making comparisons to the horrors of the Holocaust.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The retaliatory Israeli air strikes that have killed at least 1,800 Palestinians \u2014 half of them women, or below the age of 18, according to local health authorities \u2014 are just the beginning of a long campaign.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cRight now, there is a certain amount of softening, bombardment with air and artillery,\u201d said Eitan Shamir, who helped shape Israel\u2019s National Security Doctrine at the Ministry of Strategic Affairs.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Late on Friday, the Israeli military said it had sent small raids of infantry into the strip to search for hostages and collect evidence. <\/p>\n

If the Israeli military follows with a full-scale ground invasion, which looks increasingly likely, Shamir said the first 24 hours will be \u201cvery swift and formidable, with forces entering from many directions\u201d. \u201cYour options are limited here but they will be trying to do it an unexpected way with a very swift, overwhelming force.\u201d<\/p>\n

For now, the expectation is that the invasion will come from the north \u2014 and maybe capture Gaza City, the 40km-long enclave\u2019s largest population centre and the heart of Hamas\u2019 political and military infrastructure.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt looks like [the Israeli war cabinet] has decided: a northern incursion, in force and with rolling firepower, possibly four divisions along with naval power and special forces, to get into Gaza quickly and conquer Gaza City,\u201d said Ehud Yaari, a veteran Israeli analyst and fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Having called up a record 360,000 reservists, Israel has swelled its military to just over half-a-million soldiers. Airlifts of US weapons are arriving near daily, replenishing its Iron Dome air defence system with interceptors and adding to stocks of munitions. Reservists are being given refresher training and provided with weapons. Armour is being repositioned.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cYou\u2019re looking at a reserve army \u2014 on Friday, there were bank clerks, mechanics, not professional soldiers so it takes some time to get them ready all at once,\u201d said Shamir, now at the BESA Centre, at Bar-Ilan University.\u00a0<\/p>\n

<\/source><\/source>\"Rubble<\/picture>
Rubble of buildings destroyed by Israeli air strikes in Gaza City<\/span> \u00a9 Hassan Eslaiah\/AP<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This is so \u201cambitious\u201d an objective that it has held previous Israeli government\u2019s back, precisely due to the likely high price in Israeli fatalities, said Amos Yadlin, a retired general and former head of Israel\u2019s military intelligence.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe goal of this operation is destroying Hamas, taking all its military capabilities and governance capabilities and [replacing] it with something else,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n

How Hamas\u2019 fighters respond will shape Israel\u2019s military strategy. Many could slip away with the civilians fleeing south, but that will play to Israel\u2019s strengths, said Shamir. It can set up forward bases, move equipment closer to the frontline and destroy Hamas\u2019 underground infrastructure.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cThe fighters are going to melt away, but you clear the tunnels, you clear everything, you don\u2019t leave anything that they can possibly use,\u201d he said. \u201cThis is only the first phase, and then they will go to the south, and clear that.\u201d<\/p>\n

Hamas\u2019 vast system of tunnels \u2014 built to house and protect the group\u2019s fighters and commanders \u2014 poses a daunting challenge, but Israeli forces would try to destroy it without necessarily having to enter.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cThe underground network could also be a death trap for them, with Israel burning and killing them inside,\u201d said Yaari.\u00a0<\/p>\n

<\/source><\/source>\"Women<\/picture>
Women and children evacuate Gaza City on Friday<\/span> \u00a9 Mohammed Saber\/EPA\/Shutterstock<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Whatever the exact contours of the Israeli offensive, analysts are convinced it is coming \u2014 most likely within a matter of days. <\/p>\n

The UN and other international agencies are trying to convince Israel to extend its 24-hour deadline for leaving northern Gaza so civilians have more time to prepare. Even with little fuel, destroyed roads and sheer panic gripping the population, the Palestinian Center for Human Rights estimates that hundreds of thousands of people are on the move.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Basel al-Sourani, international advocacy officer for the EU-funded rights group, said he now recognised how other Palestinians felt in 1948, when they were displaced from areas such as Haifa and the Negev during the formation of the Jewish state. \u201cJust like 1948, will we see the same thing in 2023?\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

This round of Israel-Hamas violence, Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari, spokesperson for the Israeli military said on Friday, would be unlike anything seen before. And when it\u2019s done, Gaza \u201cwill be something else\u201d.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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