{"id":3638,"date":"2023-10-20T11:01:39","date_gmt":"2023-10-20T11:01:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/markets\/hartford-financial-stock-lost-4-ytd-is-correction-in-the-cards\/"},"modified":"2023-10-20T11:01:40","modified_gmt":"2023-10-20T11:01:40","slug":"hartford-financial-stock-lost-4-ytd-is-correction-in-the-cards","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/?p=3638","title":{"rendered":"Hartford Financial Stock Lost 4% YTD, Is Correction In The Cards?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Hartford Financial\u2019s stock (NYSE: HIG) has lost approximately 4% YTD as compared to the 12% rise in the S&amp;P500 index over the same period. Further, at the current price of $73 per share, it is trading 14% below its fair value of $85 \u2013 Trefis\u2019 estimate for <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/HIG\/no-login-required\/bzk8jO6M\/Hartford-Financial-HIG-Valuation-Is-HIG-Stock-Expensive-Or-Cheap-?fromforbesandarticle=trefis231020\">Hartford Financial\u2019s valuation<\/strong><strong>. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>HIG stock has seen extremely strong gains of 50% from levels of $50 in early January 2021 to around $75 now, vs. an increase of about 15% for the S&amp;P 500 over this roughly 3-year period. However, the increase in HIG stock has been far from consistent. Returns for the stock were 41% in 2021, 10% in 2022, and -4% in 2023. In comparison, returns for the S&amp;P 500 have been 27% in 2021, -19% in 2022, and 12% in 2023 &#8211; indicating that <strong>HIG underperformed the S&amp;P<\/strong> in 2023. In fact, <strong>consistently beating the S&amp;P 500<\/strong> &#8211; in good times and bad &#8211; has been difficult over recent years for individual stocks; for heavyweights in the Financial sector including V, JPM, and MA, and even for the megacap stars GOOG, TSLA, and MSFT. In contrast, the Trefis High Quality Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has <strong>outperformed the S&amp;P 500 each year<\/strong> over the same period. <strong>Why is that?<\/strong> As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics. Given the current uncertain macroeconomic environment with high oil prices and elevated interest rates, could HIG face a similar situation as it did in 2023 and <strong>underperform the S&amp;P<\/strong> over the next 12 months &#8211; or will it see a strong jump?<\/p>\n<p>The insurance giant posted mixed results in the first quarter, with earnings beating the consensus but revenues marginally missing the mark. It posted total revenues of $6.05 billion \u2013 up 13% y-o-y, primarily driven by a 9% rise in the earned premiums and an 81% decline in the net realized losses. The premiums mainly benefited from a 10% growth in the property &amp; casualty (P&amp;C) commercial lines and a 7% rise in the group benefits insurance divisions. On the cost front, total benefits, losses &amp; expenses as a % of revenues slightly decreased in the quarter, leading to a 23% y-o-y increase in the adjusted net income to $542 million.<\/p>\n<p>The company\u2019s top line grew 11% y-o-y to $11.96 billion in the first half of FY2023, driven by growth in net premiums and lower net realized losses. Further, the expenses as a % of revenues decreased over the same period. Overall, the net income improved 22% y-o-y to $1.07 billion.<\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p>Moving forward, we expect the premiums to drive the third-quarter results. Notably, the consensus estimates for Q3 revenues and earnings are $6.17 billion and $1.98 respectively. Overall, <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/HIG\/no-login-required\/NjkfF1Gk\/Hartford-Financial-Revenues-How-Does-HIG-Make-Money-?fromforbesandarticle=trefis231020\">Hartford Financial\u2019s revenues<\/strong> are forecast to touch $24.01 billion in FY2023. Additionally, HIG\u2019s adjusted net income margin is likely to be around 10%, resulting in an adjusted net income of $2.45 billion and an annual GAAP EPS of $7.58. This coupled with a P\/E multiple of just above 11x will lead to a valuation of $85.<\/p>\n<p>Invest with <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/M7MacZNG?fromforbes\">Market Beating Portfolios<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>See all <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/price-estimates?fromforbes\">Price Estimates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2023\/10\/20\/hartford-financial-stock-lost-4-ytd-is-correction-in-the-cards\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hartford Financial\u2019s stock (NYSE: HIG) has lost approximately 4% YTD as compared to the 12% rise in the S&amp;P500 index over the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3639,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-3638","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Hartford Financial Stock Lost 4% YTD, Is Correction In The Cards? | inFundPros<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Hartford Financial\u2019s stock (NYSE: HIG) has lost approximately 4% YTD as compared to the 12% rise in the S&amp;P500 index over the same period. 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