{"id":8655,"date":"2023-11-02T14:38:48","date_gmt":"2023-11-02T14:38:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/business\/europe-cant-bank-on-its-brimming-gas-stores-to-keep-prices-in-check-this-winter\/"},"modified":"2023-11-02T14:38:48","modified_gmt":"2023-11-02T14:38:48","slug":"europe-cant-bank-on-its-brimming-gas-stores-to-keep-prices-in-check-this-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/?p=8655","title":{"rendered":"Europe can\u2019t bank on its brimming gas stores to keep prices in check this winter"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-editable=\"content\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-reorderable=\"content\">\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo6w2a8y007a67qdctuu87da@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      By many measures, the European Union has succeeded in its goal to break its dependence on Russia\u2019s natural gas, avoiding the fuel shortages and blackouts many had feared at the height of last winter\u2019s energy crisis.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo6w4l2j00053b6i8pqsyjnp@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      The bloc of 27 nations, heavily dependent on gas imports, once relied on Russia for around half of those inflows. But it has boosted imports of piped and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from elsewhere, fast-tracked the approval and construction of LNG infrastructure, and urged its citizens to cut their energy consumption \u2014\u00a0and all in the 20 months since Moscow launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo6w7ibm00073b6inokbkezd@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      It has passed at least one test with flying colors, earning a score of 99% \u2014 that\u2019s how full the bloc\u2019s gas storage facilities were Thursday, which is comfortably above the 90% level the EU\u2019s executive body instructed member states to reach by the start of November, when the heating season begins in earnest.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo6xsym400093b6i8vyvcxqa@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Longer-term trends also mean that Europe\u2019s gas needs are gradually declining. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said last month that it expected demand for the fuel in \u201cmature markets\u201d \u2014 comprising Europe, North America and parts of Asia \u2014 to fall 1% every year till the end of 2026 as countries expand their renewable energy sectors and became more energy-efficient.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo6xszsv000b3b6ifcwmy7i9@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      But while gas shortages are unlikely in Europe this winter, the price of the fuel remains a worry.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clofme8ip0000356ih7ptdgz4@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Prices on commodity markets in the region have shot up 28% in the past month. And even before that surge, they were still almost double their historical average for the time of year.\n  <\/p>\n<div data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/image\/instances\/cloe47u8l000b3b6isaa37z9r@published\" class=\"image image__hide-placeholder\" data-image-variation=\"image\" data-name=\"GettyImages-1741428049.jpg\" data-component-name=\"image\" data-observe-re data-breakpoints=\"{\" image--eq-extra-small=\"\" data-original-ratio=\"0.6955\" data-original-height=\"1391\" data-original-width=\"2000\" data-url=\"https:\/\/media.cnn.com\/api\/v1\/images\/stellar\/prod\/gettyimages-1741428049.jpg?c=original\" data-editable=\"settings\">\n<div class=\"image__container \" data-image-variation=\"image\" data-breakpoints=\"{\" image--eq-extra-small=\"\">\n       <picture class=\"image__picture\"><source height=\"1391\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 1280px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1391\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 960px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1391\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 480px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1391\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(max-width: 479px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo6z7pxe000w3b6iihz7dr79@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      \u201cThe increase in LNG supply was not enough to offset the sharp declines in deliveries of pipeline gas from Russia to Europe,\u201d the IEA said in October. \u201cAs such, the risk of price volatility, particularly in the event of a cold winter, is cause for concern.\u201d\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clofn43ol0004356it6rroi08@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      That volatility could mean more upward moves in European prices, and reflects the fact that Europe now has fewer options to procure more gas should it need to. It may need more of the fuel if the coming winter is much colder than anticipated, or if Russia \u2014 which still supplies gas via pipelines to a handful of European countries, including Hungary and Austria \u2014 cuts off all piped exports, according to Moody\u2019s.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cloh1l9bu0000356ir2jbk0b2@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      In Europe\u2019s tight market, traders are \u201chypersensitive,\u201d says Jack Sharples, senior research fellow at the Oxford Institute of Energy Studies, who notes that some of the bloc\u2019s biggest suppliers of piped gas such as Norway, Azerbaijan and Algeria don\u2019t have much spare capacity.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cloh1qect0004356is2mvtkza@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      \u201cAnything that might suggest an uptick in demand or a curtailment of supply is going to send prices jumping,\u201d he told CNN.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clofq92ui0006356idtat32t9@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      According to Moody\u2019s, prices for the fuel will remain higher in Europe than elsewhere.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cloftxgsm0005356iq477rl3j@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      High gas prices have presented a particular economic headwind for some European countries \u2014\u00a0notably Germany, the region\u2019s biggest economy \u2014\u00a0because of their reliance on energy-intensive industries.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod07bmn00163b6ind7x1a5c@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      The price of Europe\u2019s benchmark gas contract has jumped from \u20ac36 ($38) to \u20ac47 ($50) per megawatt hour since October 5, just before a confluence of geopolitical risks began to shake traders\u2019 confidence.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo709ras00143b6i8w9lt8ht@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      On October 7, Palestinian militant group\ufeff<em> <\/em>Hamas launched a brutal assault on Israel, killing more than 1,400 people, most of them civilians. Israel has responded by bombarding the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip from the air, and later sending ground troops into the enclave.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cloczik9i000n3b6i8jhmlc9w@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      The fighting has fueled concerns that conflict could spread throughout the region and affect the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway used for exporting LNG.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cloczpm2j000r3b6ixsxbroko@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      According to S&amp;P Global, about one-fifth of global LNG supply<strong> <\/strong>travels through the channel on Iran\u2019s south coast.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo7a4vs400093b6ieq33mxqg@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      The Hamas attack has also led to energy giant Chevron (CVX) shuttering<strong> <\/strong>its Tamar gas field off Israel\u2019s south coast, which exports the fuel to neighbors Jordan and Egypt.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo7bgzrb00113b6ix8bhbmhk@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      A drop in Israeli gas flows to Cairo \u2014\u00a0which processes some of its gas stocks into LNG for shipping abroad \u2014\u00a0may mean fewer, or no, Egyptian LNG exports this winter, analysts tell CNN.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo7a5hrz000e3b6i9ouok8bc@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      On the weekend Hamas attacked Israel, Finland\u2019s gas transmission operator also said it had temporarily shut a pipeline connecting the country with Estonia over a suspected leak. Soon after, the operator said the pipeline would remain closed for at least five months and news also emerged that workers at two major LNG facilities in Australia were planning to go on strike.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod0ham0001c3b6ijlkqe1mc@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      In a less jittery market, neither incident may have had the effect it did, helping boost European<strong> <\/strong>gas prices by more th\ufeffan 40% over the course of a single week.\n  <\/p>\n<div data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/image\/instances\/cloe48y8r000g3b6isj5m1y2c@published\" class=\"image image__hide-placeholder\" data-image-variation=\"image\" data-name=\"GettyImages-1742207645.jpg\" data-component-name=\"image\" data-observe-re data-breakpoints=\"{\" image--eq-extra-small=\"\" data-original-ratio=\"0.6665\" data-original-height=\"1333\" data-original-width=\"2000\" data-url=\"https:\/\/media.cnn.com\/api\/v1\/images\/stellar\/prod\/gettyimages-1742207645.jpg?c=original\" data-editable=\"settings\">\n<div class=\"image__container \" data-image-variation=\"image\" data-breakpoints=\"{\" image--eq-extra-small=\"\">\n       <picture class=\"image__picture\"><source height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 1280px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 960px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 480px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(max-width: 479px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/gettyimages-1742207645.jpg\" alt=\"Finnish officials at a press conference on the investigation into a possible attack on the Balticconnector gas pipeline on October 24\" class=\"image__dam-img image__dam-img--loading\" onload=\"this.classList.remove('image__dam-img--loading')\" onerror=\"imageLoadError(this)\" height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clog187y80006356ixvwybemj@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Finnish authorities have launched a criminal investigation into whether the pipeline was deliberately damaged, resurfacing concerns about the vulnerability of Europe\u2019s critical infrastructure a little over a year after a series of explosions rocked the Nord Steam 1 pipeline \u2014\u00a0once the main artery funneling Russian gas to the region.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo8pewje00073b6iydxry8dm@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      As for the planned strike over pay and conditions at Chevron\u2019s Australian LNG facilities, which was eventually called off, it offers a \u201ctextbook example\u201d of the interconnectedness of the global gas market, according to Simone Tagliapietra, a senior fellow at think tank Bruegel.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo8pglez000a3b6i073vlcus@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      \u201cThese strikes do not affect Europe directly,\u201d he told CNN. \u201cBut it affects the global LNG market overall, and\u2026 therefore European prices jump as a result of something that happens in Australia.\u201d\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo8qhpf5000o3b6i8cnqxved@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Europe is \u201csafe for the winter,\u201d he said, but its reliance on LNG for additional supply means that \u201cif anything happens\u201d prices could surge.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo8ri9a900183b6i8zar542w@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Bill Weatherburn, a commodities economist at Capital Economics, agrees.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo8rk20y001a3b6iuh3n386m@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      He wrote in a note last week that Europe\u2019s reliance on LNG had recently pushed some countries in the region, including France and Italy, to sign 27-year contracts with Qatar for the fuel, exactly the type of long-term LNG import agreements \u201cthe bloc has eschewed in the past.\u201d\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clo8sc4ka001c3b6iq0nhee05@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Still, Europe can breathe easier this winter and may be in a much better position this time next year.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod4cws2002j3b6i3knc4ia5@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Gas prices are down 86% fro\ufeffm their all-time high of \u20ac339 ($357) per megawatt hour, hit in August 2022 when EU member states were scrambling to secure enough gas ahead of their first winter without the usual bounty of Russian exports.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod4cy2x002l3b6irhwdcjdd@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      And, in the next few years, the bloc can anticipate a \u201cwave\u201d of new LNG supply to make its way to the global market, according to the IEA.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod4q2xy002p3b6i6xtzbb4i@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      The agency said in its annual World Energy Outlook, published last week, that it expected 250 billion cubic meters of new liquefaction capacity \u2014 that is, the process of cooling natural gas into a liquid state for transportation \u2014 to come online by 2030, equal to almost half of the current global supply of LNG.\n  <\/p>\n<div data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/image\/instances\/cloe4bnu9000o3b6ijk7u4lxf@published\" class=\"image image__hide-placeholder\" data-image-variation=\"image\" data-name=\"GettyImages-1715388549.jpg\" data-component-name=\"image\" data-observe-re data-breakpoints=\"{\" image--eq-extra-small=\"\" data-original-ratio=\"0.667\" data-original-height=\"1334\" data-original-width=\"2000\" data-url=\"https:\/\/media.cnn.com\/api\/v1\/images\/stellar\/prod\/gettyimages-1715388549.jpg?c=original\" data-editable=\"settings\">\n<div class=\"image__container \" data-image-variation=\"image\" data-breakpoints=\"{\" image--eq-extra-small=\"\">\n       <picture class=\"image__picture\"><source height=\"1334\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 1280px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1334\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 960px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1334\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(min-width: 480px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"1334\" width=\"2000\" media=\"(max-width: 479px)\"  type=\"image\/webp\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/infundpros.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/gettyimages-1715388549.jpg\" alt=\"The gas hub of Gascade Gastransport in Lubmin, Western Pomerania, Germany. High gas prices have presented a persistent economic headwind for Europe's biggest economy due to its reliance on energy-intensive industries.\" class=\"image__dam-img image__dam-img--loading\" onload=\"this.classList.remove('image__dam-img--loading')\" onerror=\"imageLoadError(this)\" height=\"1334\" width=\"2000\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod4xzu6002t3b6i2k359l8n@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      A particularly large upswing is expected between 2025 and 2027, the IEA said.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod4xpeo002r3b6izxwbifyx@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Similarly, Weatherburn wrote that, from early 2024, \u201ca veritable flood of LNG supply is scheduled to begin to flow into global markets.\u201d \u201cThis will weigh heavily on both European natural gas and Asian LNG prices,\u201d he added.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod51wid002w3b6id78loanf@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      The next two years will see the completion of work on several LNG export terminals in the United States and on the first phase of the expansion of a<strong> <\/strong>key offshore gas field in Qatar, he said.\n  <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/clod7w77500363b6iwonld9ww@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n      Together, these milestones should push European gas prices down to \u20ac30 ($32) per megawatt hour by the end of next year, Weatherburn added.\n  <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2023\/11\/02\/energy\/europe-gas-prices-supply\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By many measures, the European Union has succeeded in its goal to break its dependence on Russia\u2019s natural gas, avoiding the fuel&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8656,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-8655","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Europe can\u2019t bank on its brimming gas stores to keep prices in check 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